XBimmers.com | BMW X6 Forum X5 Forum
 
TireRack





Go Back   XBimmers.com | BMW X6 Forum X5 Forum > BIMMERPOST Universal Forums > Off-Topic Discussions Board > Politics/Religion

Post Reply
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread
      Yesterday, 09:05 PM   #4071
NickyC
Major General
NickyC's Avatar
5820
Rep
6,073
Posts

Drives: YMB M4, has a roof though. :(
Join Date: Nov 2010
Location: Now in Miami! :D

iTrader: (17)

Quote:
Originally Posted by other_evolved View Post
Strange....what area? Everything looked pretty typical here in South City (STL hills) at the local stores.
Chesterfield!! The Wal Mart and Target parking lots in the Valley! I hope these are just some oddball occurrences, no excuse for this! FYI went to a shooting range and had some BBQ today at Sharp Shooters off Gravois. Like you said, everything looked typical. I was surprised at the amount of traffic out too, looked like a fairly normal Sunday. Got my AUG A3 sighted in real well at 25 too!

I've got my skull/bones/camo face coverings coming in on Tuesday I think. I rarely leave the house since I work remote and just stock up once every couple weeks at the grocery story. I'll cover my nose/mouth however so as to not freak people out, it's crazy how on edge people are right now. Personally I think it's ridiculous of course, but might as well go with the flow in regards to nose/mouth covering in public. I wouldn't be surprised if grocery stores etc. make everybody cover their nose/mouths before coming in anyway pretty soon.

Last edited by NickyC; Yesterday at 09:14 PM..
Appreciate 0
      Yesterday, 09:09 PM   #4072
NickyC
Major General
NickyC's Avatar
5820
Rep
6,073
Posts

Drives: YMB M4, has a roof though. :(
Join Date: Nov 2010
Location: Now in Miami! :D

iTrader: (17)

Quote:
Originally Posted by dsad1 View Post
This should show us that the "new normal" won't last long. We are right in the middle of this and people are already forgetting.

https://www.foxnews.com/travel/cruis...21-coronavirus
I sure hope you're right, and I hope to see everyone back in the restaurants, malls, grocery stores, etc. as soon as possible.
Appreciate 0
      Yesterday, 09:25 PM   #4073
NormanConquest
Brigadier General
2446
Rep
3,528
Posts

Drives: 340i
Join Date: May 2017
Location: Earth

iTrader: (0)

So if the 86% rule is correct it seems america has peak today and we should start seeing a slow down in serious cases.

Calculation is showing

627,397 infected
9,634 deaths
307,548 recover or mild and not needing hospital
Resolved Death 3%
Open cases 49.4%
Appreciate 2
iconoclast4162.00
NickyC5820.00

      Yesterday, 09:29 PM   #4074
iconoclast
Self-Deprecating Narcissist
iconoclast's Avatar
No_Country
4162
Rep
4,384
Posts

Drives: Audi BMW Ferrari LR MB
Join Date: Jan 2014
Location: In, Out & Around...

iTrader: (0)

theoretically. if we do not see decline by week's end then we are still heading for the crest not the trough.
Appreciate 0
      Yesterday, 09:38 PM   #4075
NormanConquest
Brigadier General
2446
Rep
3,528
Posts

Drives: 340i
Join Date: May 2017
Location: Earth

iTrader: (0)

Quote:
Originally Posted by iconoclast View Post
theoretically. if we do not see decline by week's end then we are still heading for the crest not the trough.
if it the exponential growth keeps up both on new cases and serious cases then the disease is more serious and more contagious then the lancet report has indicated. Or the numbers have hit the max cases that can be discover in a day due to testing limitation.

I'm just trying to be optimistic that we hopefully finally broke the back of this disease.

I know several sites say NY is suppose to peak tomorrow and NJ suppose to peak on the 11th
Appreciate 0
      Yesterday, 10:32 PM   #4076
NickyC
Major General
NickyC's Avatar
5820
Rep
6,073
Posts

Drives: YMB M4, has a roof though. :(
Join Date: Nov 2010
Location: Now in Miami! :D

iTrader: (17)

Already posted? Article is a few days old so likely nothing getting by you hawks. Opinion on this seems to sway violently from basically useless in treating the disease to the only thing saving folks who would otherwise be goners.

https://www.washingtontimes.com/news...ve-therapy-do/
Appreciate 0
      Yesterday, 10:56 PM   #4077
ynguldyn
Colonel
3249
Rep
2,359
Posts

Drives: battery powered tv on wheels
Join Date: Jun 2010
Location: Boston

iTrader: (0)

Quote:
Originally Posted by turboawd View Post
That's all cnn does. Look for anything they don't like that trump does, and ignore anything good done.
All they did was put what he said next to what was actually happening at the time he said it. No discussion of his actions whatsoever, neither positive nor negative, only his words against the facts.
Appreciate 0
      Yesterday, 10:56 PM   #4078
NickyC
Major General
NickyC's Avatar
5820
Rep
6,073
Posts

Drives: YMB M4, has a roof though. :(
Join Date: Nov 2010
Location: Now in Miami! :D

iTrader: (17)

Quote:
Originally Posted by NormanConquest View Post
So if the 86% rule is correct it seems america has peak today and we should start seeing a slow down in serious cases.

Calculation is showing

627,397 infected
9,634 deaths
307,548 recover or mild and not needing hospital
Resolved Death 3%
Open cases 49.4%
Honestly, how can we be anywhere near a peak? This damned thing really hasn't taken off in any major cities besides just a few. I mean it's great that Bill Gates of all people is even lowering his death estimate below that of the White House, but this seems premature to me.

You know I'm all for this thing being overblown and hysteria driven, but I just don't see how we get out of this without many more weeks of increased deaths and infections. I think we can all agree that there are many places in this country that aren't taking the lock downs too seriously, so I just can't fathom we're anywhere near the peak.

Hopefully I'm wrong as usual, there's enough loss and sadness as it is.

Bill Gates reference btw: https://www.cnbc.com/2020/04/05/bill...-scenario.html
Appreciate 0
      Yesterday, 10:59 PM   #4079
ynguldyn
Colonel
3249
Rep
2,359
Posts

Drives: battery powered tv on wheels
Join Date: Jun 2010
Location: Boston

iTrader: (0)

Data sources:

https://www.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashb...23467b48e9ecf6 (primary source of real time data, but bad graphs)
http://91-divoc.com/pages/covid-visualization/ (not real time but much more useful graphs)
https://covid19.healthdata.org/projections (the model used by the WH)
Appreciate 0
      Yesterday, 11:07 PM   #4080
chris719
Colonel
2376
Rep
2,961
Posts

Drives: '08 M Roadster
Join Date: Oct 2007
Location: NJ

iTrader: (0)

Quote:
Originally Posted by NickyC View Post
Honestly, how can we be anywhere near a peak? This damned thing really hasn't taken off in any major cities besides just a few. I mean it's great that Bill Gates of all people is even lowering his death estimate below that of the White House, but this seems premature to me.

You know I'm all for this thing being overblown and hysteria driven, but I just don't see how we get out of this without many more weeks of increased deaths and infections. I think we can all agree that there are many places in this country that aren't taking the lock downs too seriously, so I just can't fathom we're anywhere near the peak.

Hopefully I'm wrong as usual, there's enough loss and sadness as it is.

Bill Gates reference btw: https://www.cnbc.com/2020/04/05/bill...-scenario.html
I actually agree with you. Until a vaccine is available, this will continue to spread throughout the population. The short term exponential rise may slow down, but I don't see how the math supports these lower numbers. I guess it all depends on when you think the "outbreak is under control".

I would say it is possible we are near the peak infection rate in terms of cases per day. NYC's population density is very high and it was hit relatively early.

Last edited by chris719; Yesterday at 11:21 PM..
Appreciate 1
NickyC5820.00

      Yesterday, 11:26 PM   #4081
anglo
Libertarian
anglo's Avatar
United_States
49838
Rep
3,610
Posts

Drives: M4
Join Date: Jul 2016
Location: Sanctuary City

iTrader: (0)

Quote:
Originally Posted by chris719 View Post
Sorry, I'll believe the governor of CT over some total nutjob.
From the Hartford Courant

https://www.courant.com/breaking-new...rua-story.html

Quote:
An official cause of death remains outstanding pending toxicology results, and officials said it is possible the child died not from the virus but from an underlying condition, sudden infant death syndrome or positional asphyxiation.

In the absence of that official determination Friday, Lamont and Connecticut State Epidemiologist Matthew Cartter retreated from directly connecting the cause of the infant’s death to the virus.
Appreciate 1
      Yesterday, 11:26 PM   #4082
other_evolved
Lieutenant Colonel
1470
Rep
1,622
Posts

Drives: 2015 Chevrolet SS
Join Date: Oct 2012
Location: Saint Louis

iTrader: (0)

Quote:
Originally Posted by NickyC View Post
Chesterfield!! The Wal Mart and Target parking lots in the Valley! I hope these are just some oddball occurrences, no excuse for this! FYI went to a shooting range and had some BBQ today at Sharp Shooters off Gravois. Like you said, everything looked typical. I was surprised at the amount of traffic out too, looked like a fairly normal Sunday. Got my AUG A3 sighted in real well at 25 too!

I've got my skull/bones/camo face coverings coming in on Tuesday I think. I rarely leave the house since I work remote and just stock up once every couple weeks at the grocery story. I'll cover my nose/mouth however so as to not freak people out, it's crazy how on edge people are right now. Personally I think it's ridiculous of course, but might as well go with the flow in regards to nose/mouth covering in public. I wouldn't be surprised if grocery stores etc. make everybody cover their nose/mouths before coming in anyway pretty soon.
Sharpshooters is a great place. I picked up a Glock from there about a month ago and wish I got to the range more than I do because they have one of the best setups in the area I think.
__________________
Present
2015 Chevrolet SS
2014 Jeep Cherokee Trailhawk V6
Appreciate 1
NickyC5820.00

      Yesterday, 11:28 PM   #4083
NickyC
Major General
NickyC's Avatar
5820
Rep
6,073
Posts

Drives: YMB M4, has a roof though. :(
Join Date: Nov 2010
Location: Now in Miami! :D

iTrader: (17)

Quote:
Originally Posted by other_evolved View Post
Sharpshooters is a great place. I picked up a Glock from there about a month ago and wish I got to the range more than I do because they have one of the best setups in the area I think.
They’re still open! Five in the range max and only one person per lane but they’re open!
Appreciate 0
      Yesterday, 11:45 PM   #4084
NormanConquest
Brigadier General
2446
Rep
3,528
Posts

Drives: 340i
Join Date: May 2017
Location: Earth

iTrader: (0)

Quote:
Originally Posted by chris719 View Post
I actually agree with you. Until a vaccine is available, this will continue to spread throughout the population. The short term exponential rise may slow down, but I don't see how the math supports these lower numbers. I guess it all depends on when you think the "outbreak is under control".

I would say it is possible we are near the peak infection rate in terms of cases per day. NYC's population density is very high and it was hit relatively early.

Your correct perhaps that the term i should have used
Appreciate 1
chris7192375.50

      Today, 12:37 AM   #4085
chris719
Colonel
2376
Rep
2,961
Posts

Drives: '08 M Roadster
Join Date: Oct 2007
Location: NJ

iTrader: (0)

Quote:
Originally Posted by anglo View Post
Now that's a better source.
Appreciate 0
Post Reply

Bookmarks

Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off



All times are GMT -5. The time now is 04:20 AM.




xbimmers
Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2020, vBulletin Solutions Inc.
1Addicts.com, BIMMERPOST.com, E90Post.com, F30Post.com, M3Post.com, ZPost.com, 5Post.com, 6Post.com, 7Post.com, XBimmers.com logo and trademark are properties of BIMMERPOST