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Very similar situation. I am considering the same options. I am leaning against the roof mount as I have a bad experience causing $7K of damage to bike, car, and garage. You can picture what happened.
I already own a Thule platform rack (916CTR) that holds 2 bikes, with available expansion to 4 bikes for <$300. Love the rack as the bikes don't touch and nothing touches the bike frames.
I am leaning towards installing a hitch on our X5 35d. It would cost me approx $1K for the install of hitch and the Thule 2-bike extension. Also have the added benefit for towing, etc if the needs arise.
I do not see the BMW rear rack as a good option for me as it is special for BMW and has no reuse. My Thule rack is 5 years old and should last as long as I am riding bikes. The Thule will have a lot more years of service and can work across multiple vehicles.
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